統計学輪講（第２２回）

日時    2006年10月 3日(火)    15時〜15時50分
場所    経済学部新棟３階第３教室
講演者   戸田アレクシ哲(経済M1)
演題    Is 30 Times of Practice Sufficient to Reliably Intubate a Patient?:
Estimation by Nonlinear Multiple Equation Generalized Method of Moments.

概要：
We analysed the effect of intubation practice on two outcomes, (1) the
probability of successful intubation, and (2) the occurrence of adverse
effects, by implementing Multiple Equation Generalized Method of Moments
(GMM) to a probit model.  Result: 30 times of intubation practice increases
the probability of successful intubation from 70% to 80%, and decreases the
occurrence of adverse effects from 60% to 30%.  There were significant
differences of ability among trainees.  Estimation methods other than GMM
might be inconsistent.  Our result can be applied to training of doctors and
anesthesiologists.

* intubation=気管内挿管、intubate=挿管する、patient=患者、adverse
effects=副作用、anesthesiologist=麻酔科医

統計学輪講のスケジュールに戻る．

Tokyo University