統計学輪講 第4回

日時 2021年4月27日(火)
14時55分 ~ 15時45分
場所 Zoomオンライン開催(URLはITC-LMSをご確認ください)
講演者 坪田 大河 (経済D1)
演題 双曲割引の下での動学的離散選択における識別
概要

We study identification of dynamic discrete choice models with hyperbolic discounting.
We show that the standard discount factor, present bias factor, and the perceived conditional choice probabilities for the sophisticated agent are point-identified in a finite horizon model. The main idea to achieve identification is to exploit variation of the observed conditional choice probabilities over time. We also show that, if the data have an additional state variable, the identification result is still valid with less severe requirements for the number of time periods in the data.